GDP Transition Modeler

Model the impact of shifting investment from real estate to manufacturing on overall GDP growth.

Real Estate Sector Share (%)

10%35%

Real Estate Growth Rate (%)

-15%5%

Manufacturing Share (%)

20%40%

Manufacturing Growth Rate (%)

0%15%

Projected GDP Growth Rate

Static Calculation Mode

Please enable JavaScript to use the interactive sliders. By default, assuming a 25% real estate share shrinking at -5% and a 28% manufacturing share growing at 8%, the net contribution yields approximately 4.2% overall GDP growth.

Methodology & Assumptions

This model simplifies the Chinese economy into three sectors: Real Estate (including related services), Advanced Manufacturing, and "Other". Historically, real estate accounted for ~25-30% of GDP growth. The model calculates the weighted average of sector growth rates to determine the aggregate GDP growth.